Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Medvedev D. — Paul T.

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Model prediction for 16 October

Medvedev D.65%
Paul T.35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 54%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1835, Paul T. 1774.

Facts

  • Medvedev D.: 3 wins in a row; Paul T.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.554%
Games under 21.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Paul T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 14.10Tsitsipas S.2:0
  • 12.10Svrcina D.2:0
  • 10.10Struff J-L.2:1
  • 05.10Djokovic N.0:1
  • 04.10Cerundolo F.2:0

Paul T.

  • 14.10Bergs Z.2:0
  • 12.10Vacherot V.2:0
  • 10.10Vallejo D.2:0
  • 30.09Tabilo A.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

ATP on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:022.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →