Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Muchova K. — Bartunkova N.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Muchova K.63%
Bartunkova N.37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Muchova K. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Muchova K. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Muchova K. 1907, Bartunkova N. 1725.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Muchova K. games
  • Bartunkova N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Muchova K.

  • 06.10Osaka N.2:1
  • 04.10Samsonova L.2:1
  • 02.10Boulter K.2:0
  • 27.09Kalinina A.2:0
  • 25.09Bouzas Maneiro J.2:0

Bartunkova N.

  • 06.10Kraus S.2:1
  • 04.10Sabalenka A.2:0
  • 02.10Frech M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Andreeva M.Bartunkova N.10 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Muchova K.McNally C.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:019.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →