Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Oliynykova O. — Yuan Y.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Oliynykova O.54%
Yuan Y.46%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Oliynykova O. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Oliynykova O. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Oliynykova O. 1578, Yuan Y. 1552.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Oliynykova O. games
  • Yuan Y. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Oliynykova O.

  • 23.09Chwalinska M.0:2
  • 22.09Wolff V.2:0

Yuan Y.

  • 21.09Back D.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Yuan Y.Andreeva M.2 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →