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Tennis: WTA, Ningbo, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Rybakina E. — Fernandez L.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Rybakina E.85%
Fernandez L.15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Rybakina E. to win (85%), came true.

Rybakina E. are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

Over 18.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rybakina E. 1993, Fernandez L. 1650.

Facts

  • Fernandez L.: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 18.548%
Games under 18.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rybakina E. games
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rybakina E.

  • 24.10Shnaider D.2:0
  • 23.10Kawa K.2:1
  • 22.10Kudermetova P.0:0
  • 03.10Charaeva A.1:2

Fernandez L.

  • 24.10Bouzkova M.2:0
  • 23.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 21.10Sasnovich A.2:1
  • 19.10Mertens E.2:1
  • 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fernandez L.Sakatsume H.27 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Rybakina E.Putintseva Y.29 October · WTA · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5

WTA on the same day

  • Watson H.Parks A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Sasnovich A.Rakhimova K.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Hontama M.Joint M.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Ibragimova A.Iatcenko P.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Lee C. Y.Pridankina E.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Birrell K.Kasatkina D.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Krueger A.Siniakova K.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Prozorova T.Garland J.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →