Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Skatov T. — Sakellaridis S.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Skatov T.43%
Sakellaridis S.57%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sakellaridis S. to win (57%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.

Sakellaridis S. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Skatov T. 1425, Sakellaridis S. 1481.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Skatov T. games
  • Sakellaridis S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Skatov T.

No past matches in the data yet.

Sakellaridis S.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tomic B.Skatov T.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →