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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Sonego L. — Munar J.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Sonego L.38%
Munar J.62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Munar J. to win (62%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.

Munar J. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sonego L. 1572, Munar J. 1617.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sonego L. games
  • Munar J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sonego L.

  • 25.10Fearnley J.1:2
  • 24.10Vallejo D.2:1
  • 19.10Kouame M.0:2
  • 05.10Dougaz A.1:2
  • 28.09Majchrzak K.0:2

Munar J.

  • 19.10Cina F.2:0
  • 08.10Brooksby J.0:2
  • 05.10Alcaraz C.1:2
  • 04.10Jacquet K.2:0
  • 02.10Faria J.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Vallejo D.Sonego L.1 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Faria J.Hijikata R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Gaston H.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →