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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Vacherot V. — Fritz T.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Vacherot V.35%
Fritz T.65%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (65%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.

Fritz T. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vacherot V. 1695, Fritz T. 1795.

Facts

  • Vacherot V.: 3 wins in a row; Fritz T.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Fritz T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vacherot V.

  • 30.10Rune H.2:1
  • 29.10Jodar R.2:1
  • 26.10Navone M.2:0
  • 22.10van Assche L.1:2
  • 12.10Paul T.0:2

Fritz T.

  • 30.10Fils A.1:0
  • 29.10Shapovalov D.2:0
  • 28.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 25.10Musetti L.0:2
  • 24.10Paul T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.1 November · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Bonzi B.Fritz T.3 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Faria J.Hijikata R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Gaston H.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →