Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Walton A. — Te R.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Walton A.84%
Te R.16%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Walton A. to win (84%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 84% fails in about 16 matches out of 100 on average.

Walton A. are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Walton A. 1468, Te R. 1467.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Walton A. games
  • Te R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Walton A.

  • 23.09Royer V.0:2

Te R.

  • 28.09Gea A.0:2
  • 22.09Tomic B.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Te R.Simakin I.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →