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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Zverev A. — De Minaur A.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Zverev A.68%
De Minaur A.32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (68%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 68% fails in about 32 matches out of 100 on average.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1896, De Minaur A. 1801.

Facts

  • Zverev A.: 3 wins in a row; De Minaur A.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zverev A.

  • 30.10Fery A.2:0
  • 29.10Griekspoor T.2:0
  • 27.10Landaluce M.2:1
  • 17.10Davidovich Fokina A.1:2
  • 15.10De Minaur A.2:0

De Minaur A.

  • 30.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 28.10Tien L.2:0
  • 26.10Machac T.2:1
  • 15.10Zverev A.0:2
  • 13.10Khachanov K.2:0

Head to head

  • 15.10.2026Zverev A. — De Minaur A.2:0

Full record: 2 meetings →

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Alcaraz C.1 November · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Zverev A.Musetti L.live · 4 November · ATP · Paris
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Faria J.Hijikata R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Gaston H.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →