Jim Miller — Terrance McKinneybeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Terrance McKinney are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Jim Miller 1578, Terrance McKinney 1529.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
Form
- 10.05Jared Gordon1:0
- 13.04Chase Hooper0:1
- 17.11Damon Jackson1:0
- 14.04King Green0:1
- 14.01Gabriel Benitez1:0
- 12.07King Green0:1
- 29.03Kyle Nelson1:0
- 07.12Chris Duncan0:1
- 29.06Viacheslav Borshchev1:0
- 02.02Damir Hadzovic1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- Nazim SadykhovJefferson Nascimentopreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Adrian YanezJuan Diazpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Macy ChiassonBia Mesquitapreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jared GordonMelquizael Costapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Evan ElderSamuel Sanchespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Drew DoberChris Duncanpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtkepreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Donte JohnsonCesar Almeidapreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →