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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Lightweight

Jim Miller — Terrance McKinneybeta

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Model prediction for 15 November

Jim Miller25%
Terrance McKinney75%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Terrance McKinney are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Why

  • Elo rating: Jim Miller 1578, Terrance McKinney 1529.

Probabilities

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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.

  • Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
  • KO/TKO by each fighter
  • Goes the distance
  • Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form

Jim Miller

  • 10.05Jared Gordon1:0
  • 13.04Chase Hooper0:1
  • 17.11Damon Jackson1:0
  • 14.04King Green0:1
  • 14.01Gabriel Benitez1:0

Terrance McKinney

  • 12.07King Green0:1
  • 29.03Kyle Nelson1:0
  • 07.12Chris Duncan0:1
  • 29.06Viacheslav Borshchev1:0
  • 02.02Damir Hadzovic1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

UFC on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →