UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Stephen Thompson — Charles Radtkebeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charles Radtke are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Stephen Thompson 1503, Charles Radtke 1563.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 13.07Gabriel Bonfim0:1
- 06.10Joaquin Buckley0:1
- 17.12Shavkat Rakhmonov0:1
- 04.12Kevin Holland1:0
- 19.12Belal Muhammad0:1
- 12.04Francisco Prado1:0
- 02.11Daniel Frunza1:0
- 11.05Mike Malott0:1
- 10.11Matthew Semelsberger1:0
- 09.06Carlos Prates0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- Nazim SadykhovJefferson Nascimentopreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Adrian YanezJuan Diazpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Macy ChiassonBia Mesquitapreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jared GordonMelquizael Costapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Evan ElderSamuel Sanchespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Jim MillerTerrance McKinneypreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Drew DoberChris Duncanpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Donte JohnsonCesar Almeidapreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →