UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Macy Chiasson — Bia Mesquitabeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bia Mesquita are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Macy Chiasson 1495, Bia Mesquita 1642.
Probabilities
8 more model lines in Premium
The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.03Ailin Perez0:1
- 05.10Yana Santos0:1
- 01.06Ketlen Vieira0:1
- 30.06Mayra Bueno Silva1:0
- 17.03Pannie Kianzad1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- Nazim SadykhovJefferson Nascimentopreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Adrian YanezJuan Diazpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jared GordonMelquizael Costapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Evan ElderSamuel Sanchespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Jim MillerTerrance McKinneypreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Drew DoberChris Duncanpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtkepreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Donte JohnsonCesar Almeidapreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →