Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)

Bydgoszcz (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)beta

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Model prediction for 17 October

Bydgoszcz (W)76%
MKS Kalisz (W)24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Bydgoszcz (W) are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 179 points in the match. First set: Bydgoszcz (W) — 66%.

Over 179.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Bydgoszcz (W) 1486, MKS Kalisz (W) 1383; chance to win a single set: Bydgoszcz (W) 66%.

Facts

  • MKS Kalisz (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Bydgoszcz (W) 2 wins, MKS Kalisz (W) 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Bydgoszcz (W) 8, MKS Kalisz (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Bydgoszcz (W)66%
First set: MKS Kalisz (W)34%
Points over 179.549%
Points under 179.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Bydgoszcz (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Bydgoszcz (W)

  • 09.10away · Mielec (W)3:0
  • 03.10Bielsko-Biala (W)2:3
  • 13.04away · Chemik Police (W)3:1
  • 04.04Chemik Police (W)3:2
  • 28.03Rzeszow (W)0:3

MKS Kalisz (W)

  • 12.10away · Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 02.10Budowlani Lodz (W)0:3
  • 16.03away · Mielec (W)1:3
  • 12.03LKS Lodz (W)2:3
  • 10.03away · Wroclaw (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 03.03.2025MKS Kalisz (W) — Bydgoszcz (W)3:1
  • 24.11.2024Bydgoszcz (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)3:1
  • 02.03.2024Bydgoszcz (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)3:1
  • 08.12.2023MKS Kalisz (W) — Bydgoszcz (W)3:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Tauron Liga (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →