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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Cisterna — Padovabeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Cisterna68%
Padova32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Cisterna are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Cisterna — 61%.

Over 186.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Cisterna 1405, Padova 1347; chance to win a single set: Cisterna 61%.

Facts

  • Padova: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cisterna 3 wins, Padova 2.

Probabilities

First set: Cisterna61%
First set: Padova39%
Points over 186.550%
Points under 186.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Cisterna
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Cisterna

  • 01.11Piacenza1:3
  • 25.10away · Trentino0:3
  • 18.10Milano3:0
  • 08.04Milano1:3
  • 04.04away · Milano0:3

Padova

  • 01.11away · Milano0:3
  • 28.10away · Perugia0:3
  • 25.10away · Lube Civitanova0:3
  • 18.10Piacenza0:3
  • 08.04Monza0:3

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Padova — Cisterna3:2
  • 14.12.2025Cisterna — Padova1:3
  • 23.04.2025Cisterna — Padova3:2
  • 18.01.2025Padova — Cisterna2:3
  • 03.11.2024Cisterna — Padova3:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3177.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3181.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3180.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →