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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Monza — Modenabeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Monza18%
Modena82%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Modena are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 180 points in the match. First set: Modena — 70%.

Over 180.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Monza 1453, Modena 1653; chance to win a single set: Modena 70%.

Facts

  • Monza: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Monza 1 win, Modena 4.

Probabilities

First set: Monza30%
First set: Modena70%
Points over 180.549%
Points under 180.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Monza
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Monza

  • 31.10Perugia0:3
  • 25.10Verona1:3
  • 18.10away · Pordenone1:3
  • 25.04Trentino0:3
  • 19.04away · Trentino0:3

Modena

  • 01.11Verona3:1
  • 25.10away · Piacenza0:3
  • 18.10Trentino0:3
  • 05.05Trentino3:1
  • 01.05away · Trentino3:0

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Monza — Modena3:0
  • 26.10.2025Modena — Monza3:0
  • 12.01.2025Monza — Modena0:3
  • 27.10.2024Modena — Monza3:0
  • 14.01.2024Monza — Modena2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3177.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3181.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →