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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Trentino — Perugiabeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Trentino21%
Perugia79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Perugia are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Perugia — 68%.

Over 181.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Trentino 1655, Perugia 1835; chance to win a single set: Perugia 68%.

Facts

  • Trentino: 3 wins in a row; Perugia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Trentino 2 wins, Perugia 3.

Probabilities

First set: Trentino32%
First set: Perugia68%
Points over 181.551%
Points under 181.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Trentino
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Trentino

  • 01.11away · Pordenone3:0
  • 25.10Cisterna3:0
  • 18.10away · Modena3:0
  • 05.05away · Modena1:3
  • 01.05Modena0:3

Perugia

  • 31.10away · Monza3:0
  • 28.10Padova3:0
  • 25.10Pordenone3:0
  • 18.10away · Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 17.05Zawiercie3:0

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Perugia — Trentino3:1
  • 23.11.2025Trentino — Perugia3:1
  • 12.01.2025Perugia — Trentino2:3
  • 27.10.2024Trentino — Perugia1:3
  • 25.02.2024Perugia — Trentino3:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3177.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3180.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →