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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Milano — Lube Civitanovabeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Milano15%
Lube Civitanova85%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Lube Civitanova are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 178 points in the match. First set: Lube Civitanova — 72%.

Over 177.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Milano 1477, Lube Civitanova 1701; chance to win a single set: Lube Civitanova 72%.

Facts

  • Lube Civitanova: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Milano 1 win, Lube Civitanova 4.

Probabilities

First set: Milano28%
First set: Lube Civitanova72%
Points over 177.550%
Points under 177.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Milano
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Milano

  • 01.11Padova3:0
  • 25.10Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 18.10away · Cisterna0:3
  • 26.04Modena1:3
  • 19.04away · Modena1:3

Lube Civitanova

  • 01.11away · Cuneo Volley3:1
  • 25.10Padova3:0
  • 17.10away · Verona3:0
  • 06.05away · Perugia1:3
  • 03.05Perugia1:3

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Milano — Lube Civitanova3:1
  • 14.12.2025Lube Civitanova — Milano3:2
  • 26.03.2025Milano — Lube Civitanova1:3
  • 23.03.2025Lube Civitanova — Milano3:1
  • 16.03.2025Milano — Lube Civitanova0:3

Full record: 10 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3181.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3180.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →