Russian Volleyball Super League · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevskbeta

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Model prediction for 4 November

Gorky N. Novgorod42%
Novokuybyshevsk58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novokuybyshevsk are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Novokuybyshevsk — 54%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1428, Novokuybyshevsk 1495; chance to win a single set: Novokuybyshevsk 54%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 1 win, Novokuybyshevsk 4.

Probabilities

First set: Gorky N. Novgorod46%
First set: Novokuybyshevsk55%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gorky N. Novgorod

  • 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
  • 18.03Dinamo-Lo2:3
  • 14.03Surgut region3:1
  • 08.03away · Ufa2:3
  • 02.03Yaroslavl1:3

Novokuybyshevsk

  • 28.03Zenit Kazan0:3
  • 24.03away · Zenit Kazan0:3
  • 21.03Novyi Urengoy2:3
  • 18.03away · Novyi Urengoy3:1
  • 13.03Zenit Kazan1:3

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod3:1
  • 27.11.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevsk2:3
  • 24.01.2025Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
  • 18.10.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevsk0:3
  • 11.02.2024Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod3:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →