Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevskbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Novokuybyshevsk are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Novokuybyshevsk — 54%.
Over 188.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1428, Novokuybyshevsk 1495; chance to win a single set: Novokuybyshevsk 54%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 1 win, Novokuybyshevsk 4.
Probabilities
| First set: Gorky N. Novgorod | 46% |
| First set: Novokuybyshevsk | 55% |
| Points over 188.5 | 50% |
| Points under 188.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
- 18.03Dinamo-Lo2:3
- 14.03Surgut region3:1
- 08.03away · Ufa2:3
- 02.03Yaroslavl1:3
- 28.03Zenit Kazan0:3
- 24.03away · Zenit Kazan0:3
- 21.03Novyi Urengoy2:3
- 18.03away · Novyi Urengoy3:1
- 13.03Zenit Kazan1:3
Head to head
- 11.02.2026Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod3:1
- 27.11.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevsk2:3
- 24.01.2025Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
- 18.10.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Novokuybyshevsk0:3
- 11.02.2024Novokuybyshevsk — Gorky N. Novgorod3:2
Russian Super League on the same day
- KemerovoYaroslavlpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
- KrasnoyarskZenit Kazanpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3183.5
- Novyi UrengoyOrenburgpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
- Surgut regionZenit St. Petersburgpreliminary8922The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3157.5
- BelgorodUfapreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0176.5
- Din. MoscowMGTU Moscowpreliminary9911The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0135.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →