Russian Volleyball Super League · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburgbeta

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Model prediction for 25 October

Gorky N. Novgorod63%
Orenburg37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gorky N. Novgorod are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 187 points in the match. First set: Gorky N. Novgorod — 58%.

Over 187.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1428, Orenburg 1394; chance to win a single set: Gorky N. Novgorod 58%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 2 wins, Orenburg 3.

Probabilities

First set: Gorky N. Novgorod58%
First set: Orenburg42%
Points over 187.550%
Points under 187.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gorky N. Novgorod

  • 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
  • 18.03Dinamo-Lo2:3
  • 14.03Surgut region3:1
  • 08.03away · Ufa2:3
  • 02.03Yaroslavl1:3

Orenburg

  • 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
  • 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
  • 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
  • 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
  • 27.10.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburg1:3
  • 03.03.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburg3:0
  • 28.11.2024Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
  • 26.04.2024Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod2:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →