Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburgbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gorky N. Novgorod are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 187 points in the match. First set: Gorky N. Novgorod — 58%.
Over 187.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1428, Orenburg 1394; chance to win a single set: Gorky N. Novgorod 58%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 2 wins, Orenburg 3.
Probabilities
| First set: Gorky N. Novgorod | 58% |
| First set: Orenburg | 42% |
| Points over 187.5 | 50% |
| Points under 187.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
- 18.03Dinamo-Lo2:3
- 14.03Surgut region3:1
- 08.03away · Ufa2:3
- 02.03Yaroslavl1:3
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
- 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
- 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
- 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
- 27.10.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburg1:3
- 03.03.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Orenburg3:0
- 28.11.2024Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
- 26.04.2024Orenburg — Gorky N. Novgorod2:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- KemerovoKrasnoyarskpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3183.5
- Surgut regionNovyi Urengoypreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
- YaroslavlUfapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3184.5
- Dinamo-LoZenit Kazanpreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3182.5
- Zenit St. PetersburgNovosibirskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1188.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →