SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Lube Civitanova — Modenabeta

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Model prediction for 4 November

Lube Civitanova57%
Modena43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lube Civitanova are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 188 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 54% to 46%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Lube Civitanova 1680, Modena 1678.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lube Civitanova 2 wins, Modena 3.

Probabilities

First set: Lube Civitanova54%
First set: Modena46%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Lube Civitanova
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Lube Civitanova

  • 06.05away · Perugia1:3
  • 03.05Perugia1:3
  • 30.04away · Perugia0:3
  • 18.04Verona3:0
  • 11.04away · Verona3:2

Modena

  • 05.05Trentino3:1
  • 01.05away · Trentino3:0
  • 26.04away · Milano3:1
  • 19.04Milano3:1
  • 09.04away · Cuneo Volley3:0

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Lube Civitanova — Modena2:3
  • 06.12.2025Modena — Lube Civitanova3:1
  • 09.02.2025Modena — Lube Civitanova3:1
  • 17.11.2024Lube Civitanova — Modena3:0
  • 04.04.2024Lube Civitanova — Modena3:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3185.5
  • PerugiaCisternapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0134.5
  • TrentinoPiacenzapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
  • VeronaMilanopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0182.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →