SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Lube Civitanova — Padovabeta

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Model prediction for 25 October

Lube Civitanova94%
Padova6%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lube Civitanova are clear favourites: 94% against 6% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 159 points in the match. First set: Lube Civitanova — 82%.

Over 146.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Lube Civitanova 1680, Padova 1401; chance to win a single set: Lube Civitanova 82%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lube Civitanova 2 wins, Padova 3.

Probabilities

First set: Lube Civitanova82%
First set: Padova18%
Points over 146.549%
Points under 146.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Lube Civitanova
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Lube Civitanova

  • 06.05away · Perugia1:3
  • 03.05Perugia1:3
  • 30.04away · Perugia0:3
  • 18.04Verona3:0
  • 11.04away · Verona3:2

Padova

  • 08.04Monza0:3
  • 04.04away · Monza0:3
  • 25.02Piacenza3:2
  • 22.02away · Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 14.02away · Monza0:3

Head to head

  • 11.01.2026Lube Civitanova — Padova3:0
  • 23.11.2025Padova — Lube Civitanova3:2
  • 20.02.2025Padova — Lube Civitanova3:2
  • 28.09.2024Lube Civitanova — Padova3:1
  • 07.04.2024Padova — Lube Civitanova3:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • TrentinoCisternapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0155.5
  • MonzaVeronapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3185.5
  • PiacenzaModenapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0178.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 94% will not happen in roughly 6 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →