PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Lublin — Belchatowbeta

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Model prediction for 4 November

Lublin84%
Belchatow16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lublin are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 179 points in the match. First set: Lublin — 71%.

Over 178.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Lublin 1696, Belchatow 1540; chance to win a single set: Lublin 71%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lublin 4 wins, Belchatow 1.

Probabilities

First set: Lublin71%
First set: Belchatow29%
Points over 178.550%
Points under 178.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Lublin
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Lublin

  • 10.05away · Zawiercie1:3
  • 06.05Zawiercie1:3
  • 02.05away · Zawiercie3:0
  • 29.04Zawiercie3:1
  • 25.04away · Zawiercie0:3

Belchatow

  • 20.04away · Olsztyn3:2
  • 17.04Olsztyn3:2
  • 14.04away · Olsztyn2:3
  • 04.04Lublin0:3
  • 28.03away · Lublin0:3

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Belchatow — Lublin0:3
  • 28.03.2026Lublin — Belchatow3:0
  • 17.01.2026Belchatow — Lublin0:3
  • 09.11.2025Lublin — Belchatow1:3
  • 04.01.2025Belchatow — Lublin2:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

PlusLiga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →