PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Wednesday, 21 October, (UTC+3)

Lublin — Gdanskbeta

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Model prediction for 21 October

Lublin83%
Gdansk17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Lublin are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 179 points in the match. First set: Lublin — 71%.

Over 179.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Lublin 1696, Gdansk 1547; chance to win a single set: Lublin 71%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lublin 5 wins, Gdansk 0.

Probabilities

First set: Lublin71%
First set: Gdansk29%
Points over 179.550%
Points under 179.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Lublin
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Lublin

  • 10.05away · Zawiercie1:3
  • 06.05Zawiercie1:3
  • 02.05away · Zawiercie3:0
  • 29.04Zawiercie3:1
  • 25.04away · Zawiercie0:3

Gdansk

  • 23.03away · Barkom3:0
  • 17.03Lublin1:3
  • 14.03Norwid Czestochowa3:2
  • 08.03Jastrzebski0:3
  • 01.03away · Belchatow1:3

Head to head

  • 17.03.2026Gdansk — Lublin1:3
  • 03.12.2025Lublin — Gdansk3:1
  • 22.12.2024Gdansk — Lublin0:3
  • 20.09.2024Lublin — Gdansk3:2
  • 22.04.2024Gdansk — Lublin1:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

PlusLiga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →