Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

MKS Kalisz (W) — Wroclaw (W)beta

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Model prediction for 25 October

MKS Kalisz (W)65%
Wroclaw (W)35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

MKS Kalisz (W) are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: MKS Kalisz (W) — 59%.

Over 182.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: MKS Kalisz (W) 1383, Wroclaw (W) 1341; chance to win a single set: MKS Kalisz (W) 59%.

Facts

  • MKS Kalisz (W): 5 defeats in a row; Wroclaw (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: MKS Kalisz (W) 1 win, Wroclaw (W) 3.

Probabilities

First set: MKS Kalisz (W)59%
First set: Wroclaw (W)41%
Points over 182.550%
Points under 182.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap MKS Kalisz (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

MKS Kalisz (W)

  • 12.10away · Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 02.10Budowlani Lodz (W)0:3
  • 16.03away · Mielec (W)1:3
  • 12.03LKS Lodz (W)2:3
  • 10.03away · Wroclaw (W)2:3

Wroclaw (W)

  • 13.10away · Radom (W)2:3
  • 04.10Mielec (W)2:3
  • 21.03Mogilno (W)1:3
  • 14.03away · LKS Lodz (W)1:3
  • 09.03Opole (W)0:3

Head to head

  • 10.03.2025Wroclaw (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)3:2
  • 29.11.2024MKS Kalisz (W) — Wroclaw (W)1:3
  • 20.02.2024Wroclaw (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)2:3
  • 21.10.2023MKS Kalisz (W) — Wroclaw (W)2:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →