Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Mogilno (W) — Chemik Police (W)beta

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 24 October

Mogilno (W)44%
Chemik Police (W)56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Chemik Police (W) are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 46% to 54%.

Over 184.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Mogilno (W) 1408, Chemik Police (W) 1468.

Facts

  • Mogilno (W): 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Mogilno (W) 1 win, Chemik Police (W) 3.

Probabilities

First set: Mogilno (W)46%
First set: Chemik Police (W)54%
Points over 184.549%
Points under 184.551%

66 more model lines in Premium

The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Mogilno (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Mogilno (W)

  • 12.10away · Rzeszow (W)1:3
  • 03.10Radom (W)0:3
  • 11.04Radom (W)13:15
  • 11.04Radom (W)1:3
  • 30.03away · Radom (W)3:0

Chemik Police (W)

  • 12.10MKS Kalisz (W)3:1
  • 02.10away · Opole (W)3:2
  • 13.04Bydgoszcz (W)1:3
  • 04.04away · Bydgoszcz (W)2:3
  • 30.03Budowlani Lodz (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 06.01.2026Mogilno (W) — Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 11.10.2025Chemik Police (W) — Mogilno (W)3:2
  • 28.02.2025Chemik Police (W) — Mogilno (W)3:0
  • 23.11.2024Mogilno (W) — Chemik Police (W)3:2

Full record: 4 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →