Monza — Perugiabeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Perugia are clear favourites: 96% against 4% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 156 points in the match. First set: Perugia — 84%.
Over 144.5 points — 47%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Monza 1488, Perugia 1853; chance to win a single set: Perugia 84%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Monza 0 wins, Perugia 5.
Probabilities
| First set: Monza | 16% |
| First set: Perugia | 84% |
| Points over 144.5 | 47% |
| Points under 144.5 | 53% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Monza
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 25.04Trentino0:3
- 19.04away · Trentino0:3
- 08.04away · Padova3:0
- 04.04Padova3:0
- 18.03away · Perugia0:3
- 17.05Zawiercie3:0
- 16.05away · Projekt Warszawa3:0
- 06.05Lube Civitanova3:1
- 03.05away · Lube Civitanova3:1
- 30.04Lube Civitanova3:0
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Perugia — Monza3:0
- 15.03.2026Monza — Perugia2:3
- 07.03.2026Perugia — Monza3:1
- 26.11.2025Perugia — Monza3:1
- 21.10.2025Monza — Perugia1:3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 96% will not happen in roughly 4 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →