Russian Volleyball Super League · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Novyi Urengoy — Orenburgbeta

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Model prediction for 4 November

Novyi Urengoy67%
Orenburg33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novyi Urengoy are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 187 points in the match. First set: Novyi Urengoy — 60%.

Over 186.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Novyi Urengoy 1446, Orenburg 1394; chance to win a single set: Novyi Urengoy 60%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Novyi Urengoy 5 wins, Orenburg 0.

Probabilities

First set: Novyi Urengoy60%
First set: Orenburg40%
Points over 186.550%
Points under 186.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Novyi Urengoy
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Novyi Urengoy

  • 21.03away · Novokuybyshevsk3:2
  • 18.03Novokuybyshevsk1:3
  • 12.03away · MGTU Moscow3:1
  • 06.03Kemerovo0:3
  • 28.02away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3

Orenburg

  • 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
  • 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
  • 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
  • 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Novyi Urengoy — Orenburg3:0
  • 07.12.2025Orenburg — Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 25.12.2024Novyi Urengoy — Orenburg3:2
  • 20.09.2024Orenburg — Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 28.01.2024Novyi Urengoy — Orenburg3:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →