Russian Volleyball Super League · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Orenburg — Novosibirskbeta

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Model prediction for 30 October

Orenburg7%
Novosibirsk93%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novosibirsk are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Novosibirsk — 81%.

Over 148.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Orenburg 1394, Novosibirsk 1715; chance to win a single set: Novosibirsk 81%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Orenburg 0 wins, Novosibirsk 5.

Probabilities

First set: Orenburg19%
First set: Novosibirsk81%
Points over 148.550%
Points under 148.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Orenburg
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Orenburg

  • 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
  • 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
  • 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
  • 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3

Novosibirsk

  • 02.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
  • 28.04Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
  • 26.04Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
  • 20.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0

Head to head

  • 15.02.2026Orenburg — Novosibirsk1:3
  • 29.11.2025Novosibirsk — Orenburg3:0
  • 13.01.2025Novosibirsk — Orenburg3:1
  • 01.10.2024Orenburg — Novosibirsk0:3
  • 17.03.2024Orenburg — Novosibirsk2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →