Orenburg — Novosibirskbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Novosibirsk are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Novosibirsk — 81%.
Over 148.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Orenburg 1394, Novosibirsk 1715; chance to win a single set: Novosibirsk 81%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Orenburg 0 wins, Novosibirsk 5.
Probabilities
| First set: Orenburg | 19% |
| First set: Novosibirsk | 81% |
| Points over 148.5 | 50% |
| Points under 148.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Orenburg
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
- 04.03away · MGTU Moscow2:3
- 01.03away · Kemerovo3:2
- 25.02Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 22.02away · Novyi Urengoy0:3
- 02.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
- 28.04Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
- 26.04Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 22.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 20.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Orenburg — Novosibirsk1:3
- 29.11.2025Novosibirsk — Orenburg3:0
- 13.01.2025Novosibirsk — Orenburg3:1
- 01.10.2024Orenburg — Novosibirsk0:3
- 17.03.2024Orenburg — Novosibirsk2:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- KemerovoDin. Moscowpreliminary3972The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3139.5
- UfaSurgut regionpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1185.5
- Dinamo-LoGorky N. Novgorodpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →