SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Perugia — Cisternabeta

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Model prediction for 4 November

Perugia99%
Cisterna1%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Perugia are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 135 points in the match. First set: Perugia — 93%.

Over 134.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Perugia 1853, Cisterna 1356; chance to win a single set: Perugia 93%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Perugia 5 wins, Cisterna 0.

Probabilities

First set: Perugia93%
First set: Cisterna7%
Points over 134.550%
Points under 134.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Perugia
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Perugia

  • 17.05Zawiercie3:0
  • 16.05away · Projekt Warszawa3:0
  • 06.05Lube Civitanova3:1
  • 03.05away · Lube Civitanova3:1
  • 30.04Lube Civitanova3:0

Cisterna

  • 08.04Milano1:3
  • 04.04away · Milano0:3
  • 25.02away · Trentino0:3
  • 22.02Lube Civitanova2:3
  • 15.02Cuneo Volley3:0

Head to head

  • 26.12.2025Cisterna — Perugia0:3
  • 30.11.2025Perugia — Cisterna3:0
  • 05.01.2025Cisterna — Perugia0:3
  • 20.10.2024Perugia — Cisterna3:1
  • 14.02.2024Cisterna — Perugia1:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3185.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1188.5
  • TrentinoPiacenzapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
  • VeronaMilanopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0182.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →