Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Thursday, 22 October, (UTC+3)

Radom (W) — Mielec (W)beta

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Model prediction for 22 October

Radom (W)52%
Mielec (W)48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Radom (W) 52%, Mielec (W) 48%.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 51% to 49%.

Over 184.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Radom (W) 1433, Mielec (W) 1453.

Facts

  • Radom (W): 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Radom (W) 3 wins, Mielec (W) 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Radom (W) 9, Mielec (W) 7.

Probabilities

First set: Radom (W)51%
First set: Mielec (W)49%
Points over 184.550%
Points under 184.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Radom (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Radom (W)

  • 13.10Wroclaw (W)3:2
  • 03.10away · Mogilno (W)3:0
  • 11.04away · Mogilno (W)15:13
  • 11.04away · Mogilno (W)3:1
  • 30.03Mogilno (W)0:3

Mielec (W)

  • 15.10away · LKS Lodz (W)1:3
  • 09.10Bydgoszcz (W)0:3
  • 04.10away · Wroclaw (W)3:2
  • 09.04LKS Lodz (W)1:3
  • 03.04away · LKS Lodz (W)1:3

Head to head

  • 20.02.2026Radom (W) — Mielec (W)3:1
  • 21.11.2025Mielec (W) — Radom (W)3:1
  • 08.02.2025Mielec (W) — Radom (W)3:2
  • 30.10.2024Radom (W) — Mielec (W)3:2
  • 29.12.2023Mielec (W) — Radom (W)2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →