Surgut region — Novosibirskbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
In short
Novosibirsk are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Novosibirsk — 81%.
Over 148.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Surgut region 1395, Novosibirsk 1715; chance to win a single set: Novosibirsk 81%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Surgut region 0 wins, Novosibirsk 5.
Probabilities
| First set: Surgut region | 19% |
| First set: Novosibirsk | 81% |
| Points over 148.5 | 50% |
| Points under 148.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Surgut region
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 18.03Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 14.03away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
- 07.03Din. Moscow0:3
- 01.03away · Novokuybyshevsk0:3
- 02.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
- 28.04Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
- 26.04Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 22.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 20.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Surgut region — Novosibirsk1:3
- 01.11.2025Novosibirsk — Surgut region3:0
- 09.01.2025Surgut region — Novosibirsk1:3
- 27.09.2024Novosibirsk — Surgut region3:0
- 13.03.2024Surgut region — Novosibirsk0:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- 76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1183.5
- 9911The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0135.5
- 9461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0148.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →