Russian Volleyball Super League · Wednesday, 21 October, (UTC+3)

Surgut region — Novosibirskbeta

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Model prediction for 21 October

Surgut region7%
Novosibirsk93%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Novosibirsk are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Novosibirsk — 81%.

Over 148.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Surgut region 1395, Novosibirsk 1715; chance to win a single set: Novosibirsk 81%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Surgut region 0 wins, Novosibirsk 5.

Probabilities

First set: Surgut region19%
First set: Novosibirsk81%
Points over 148.550%
Points under 148.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Surgut region
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Surgut region

  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 18.03Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 14.03away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
  • 07.03Din. Moscow0:3
  • 01.03away · Novokuybyshevsk0:3

Novosibirsk

  • 02.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
  • 28.04Zenit St. Petersburg3:0
  • 26.04Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 22.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
  • 20.04away · Zenit St. Petersburg3:0

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Surgut region — Novosibirsk1:3
  • 01.11.2025Novosibirsk — Surgut region3:0
  • 09.01.2025Surgut region — Novosibirsk1:3
  • 27.09.2024Novosibirsk — Surgut region3:0
  • 13.03.2024Surgut region — Novosibirsk0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →