Russian Volleyball Super League · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Surgut region — Novyi Urengoybeta

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Model prediction for 25 October

Surgut region45%
Novyi Urengoy55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novyi Urengoy are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 189 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 47% to 53%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Surgut region 1395, Novyi Urengoy 1446.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Surgut region 1 win, Novyi Urengoy 4.

Probabilities

First set: Surgut region47%
First set: Novyi Urengoy53%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Surgut region
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Surgut region

  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 18.03Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 14.03away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
  • 07.03Din. Moscow0:3
  • 01.03away · Novokuybyshevsk0:3

Novyi Urengoy

  • 21.03away · Novokuybyshevsk3:2
  • 18.03Novokuybyshevsk1:3
  • 12.03away · MGTU Moscow3:1
  • 06.03Kemerovo0:3
  • 28.02away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026Surgut region — Novyi Urengoy2:3
  • 21.11.2025Novyi Urengoy — Surgut region0:3
  • 22.12.2024Surgut region — Novyi Urengoy0:3
  • 16.09.2024Novyi Urengoy — Surgut region3:1
  • 21.01.2024Surgut region — Novyi Urengoy1:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →