Ufa — Surgut regionbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ufa are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Ufa — 62%.
Over 185.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Ufa 1464, Surgut region 1395; chance to win a single set: Ufa 62%.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Ufa 1 win, Surgut region 4.
Probabilities
| First set: Ufa | 62% |
| First set: Surgut region | 38% |
| Points over 185.5 | 50% |
| Points under 185.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Ufa
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 20.03away · Belgorod3:2
- 17.03Belgorod0:3
- 12.03away · Krasnoyarsk1:3
- 08.03Gorky N. Novgorod3:2
- 01.03Din. Moscow0:3
- 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 18.03Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 14.03away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
- 07.03Din. Moscow0:3
- 01.03away · Novokuybyshevsk0:3
Head to head
- 12.01.2026Surgut region — Ufa3:0
- 26.10.2025Ufa — Surgut region0:3
- 12.01.2025Ufa — Surgut region3:1
- 01.10.2024Surgut region — Ufa3:2
- 07.02.2024Ufa — Surgut region2:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- KemerovoDin. Moscowpreliminary3972The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3139.5
- OrenburgNovosibirskpreliminary7932The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3148.5
- Dinamo-LoGorky N. Novgorodpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →