Russian Volleyball Super League · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Ufa — Surgut regionbeta

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Model prediction for 30 October

Ufa70%
Surgut region30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ufa are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Ufa — 62%.

Over 185.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Ufa 1464, Surgut region 1395; chance to win a single set: Ufa 62%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Ufa 1 win, Surgut region 4.

Probabilities

First set: Ufa62%
First set: Surgut region38%
Points over 185.550%
Points under 185.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Ufa
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Ufa

  • 20.03away · Belgorod3:2
  • 17.03Belgorod0:3
  • 12.03away · Krasnoyarsk1:3
  • 08.03Gorky N. Novgorod3:2
  • 01.03Din. Moscow0:3

Surgut region

  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 18.03Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 14.03away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
  • 07.03Din. Moscow0:3
  • 01.03away · Novokuybyshevsk0:3

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Surgut region — Ufa3:0
  • 26.10.2025Ufa — Surgut region0:3
  • 12.01.2025Ufa — Surgut region3:1
  • 01.10.2024Surgut region — Ufa3:2
  • 07.02.2024Ufa — Surgut region2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →