Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Friday, 16 October, (UTC+3)

Wroclaw (W) — Chemik Police (W)beta

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Model prediction for 16 October

Wroclaw (W)30%
Chemik Police (W)70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Chemik Police (W) are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 181 points in the match. First set: Chemik Police (W) — 62%.

Over 181.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Wroclaw (W) 1341, Chemik Police (W) 1468; chance to win a single set: Chemik Police (W) 62%.

Facts

  • Wroclaw (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Wroclaw (W) 0 wins, Chemik Police (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Wroclaw (W)38%
First set: Chemik Police (W)62%
Points over 181.550%
Points under 181.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Wroclaw (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Wroclaw (W)

  • 13.10away · Radom (W)2:3
  • 04.10Mielec (W)2:3
  • 21.03Mogilno (W)1:3
  • 14.03away · LKS Lodz (W)1:3
  • 09.03Opole (W)0:3

Chemik Police (W)

  • 12.10MKS Kalisz (W)3:1
  • 02.10away · Opole (W)3:2
  • 13.04Bydgoszcz (W)1:3
  • 04.04away · Bydgoszcz (W)2:3
  • 30.03Budowlani Lodz (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Wroclaw (W) — Chemik Police (W)2:3
  • 18.11.2025Chemik Police (W) — Wroclaw (W)3:0
  • 24.02.2025Wroclaw (W) — Chemik Police (W)0:3
  • 15.11.2024Chemik Police (W) — Wroclaw (W)3:1
  • 05.02.2024Wroclaw (W) — Chemik Police (W)0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →