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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Barcelona — Obradoiro CAB

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Model prediction for 15 November

Barcelona85%
Obradoiro CAB15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Barcelona are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 98:86 — 184 points in total.

Over 183.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +4.9, Obradoiro CAB −4.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Barcelona — No. 2, 4–2; Obradoiro CAB — No. 11, 3–3.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Barcelona 4 wins, Obradoiro CAB 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Obradoiro CAB98.3–85.8
Total over 183.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 183.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Barcelona points
  • Obradoiro CAB points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Barcelona

  • 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
  • 30.10Valencia98:94
  • 27.10away · Bayern88:84
  • 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
  • 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81

Obradoiro CAB

  • 01.11Breogan90:110
  • 25.10away · Tenerife76:106
  • 17.10away · San Pablo Burgos79:72
  • 11.10Forca Lleida91:89
  • 04.10Real Madrid107:114

Head to head

  • 31.03.2024Obradoiro CAB — Barcelona84:89
  • 07.01.2024Barcelona — Obradoiro CAB92:90 OT
  • 12.05.2023Barcelona — Obradoiro CAB94:77
  • 03.12.2022Obradoiro CAB — Barcelona76:74
  • 06.02.2022Barcelona — Obradoiro CAB83:67

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsReal Madrid6601.000—
2, PlayoffsBarcelona642.6672
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
10Unicaja633.5003
11Obradoiro CAB633.5003
12Murcia633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • Forca LleidaManresapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —193.7
  • ValenciaLeyma Corunapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.9
  • UnicajaBasquet Gironapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.0
  • BilbaoMurciapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.3
  • BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →