Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Bilbao — Murcia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Bilbao 52%, Murcia 48%.
The model expects a score around 90:89 — 179 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Bilbao −1.3, Murcia +1.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Bilbao — No. 6, 4–2; Murcia — No. 12, 3–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Bilbao 1 win, Murcia 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Bilbao — Murcia | 90.0–89.3 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Bilbao points
- Murcia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 01.11away · Joventut Badalona81:78
- 25.10MoraBanc Andorra88:76
- 18.10away · Real Madrid84:119
- 11.10San Pablo Burgos96:87
- 04.10away · Leyma Coruna101:104
- 31.10Forca Lleida125:98
- 24.10Leyma Coruna88:81
- 18.10away · Valencia93:116
- 11.10Tenerife77:90
- 04.10Barcelona100:94
Head to head
- 28.03.2026Murcia — Bilbao100:81
- 10.01.2026Bilbao — Murcia96:82
- 27.04.2025Bilbao — Murcia80:83 OT
- 05.10.2024Murcia — Bilbao89:83 OT
- 03.02.2024Murcia — Bilbao96:76
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Breogan | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs | Bilbao | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 7, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 11 | Obradoiro CAB | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12 | Murcia | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Forca LleidaManresapreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —193.7
- ValenciaLeyma Corunapreliminary9731The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.9
- UnicajaBasquet Gironapreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.0
- BarcelonaObradoiro CABpreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.2
- BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →