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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Unicaja — Basquet Girona

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Model prediction for 15 November

Unicaja83%
Basquet Girona17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Unicaja are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 95:83 — 178 points in total.

Over 177.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Unicaja +2.6, Basquet Girona −5.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Unicaja — No. 10, 3–3; Basquet Girona — No. 9, 3–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Unicaja 4 wins, Basquet Girona 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unicaja — Basquet Girona94.7–83.3
Total over 177.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 177.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Unicaja points
  • Basquet Girona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Unicaja

  • 01.11Barcelona89:92
  • 25.10away · Breogan103:90
  • 17.10away · Manresa84:72
  • 10.10MoraBanc Andorra92:84
  • 03.10Tenerife75:80

Basquet Girona

  • 31.10away · Basket Zaragoza78:107
  • 25.10Joventut Badalona101:87
  • 18.10Leyma Coruna110:90
  • 10.10away · Breogan92:115
  • 04.10away · Baskonia78:118

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Basquet Girona — Unicaja83:90
  • 01.11.2025Unicaja — Basquet Girona95:71
  • 25.01.2025Basquet Girona — Unicaja91:85
  • 28.09.2024Unicaja — Basquet Girona90:73
  • 30.03.2024Unicaja — Basquet Girona111:80

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, PlayoffsBaskonia642.6672
9Basquet Girona633.5003
10Unicaja633.5003
11Obradoiro CAB633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • Forca LleidaManresapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —193.7
  • ValenciaLeyma Corunapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.9
  • BarcelonaObradoiro CABpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.2
  • BilbaoMurciapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.3
  • BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →