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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Forca Lleida — Manresa

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Model prediction for 15 November

Forca Lleida62%
Manresa38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Forca Lleida are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 99:95 — 194 points in total.

Over 192.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Forca Lleida −8.1, Manresa −8.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Forca Lleida — No. 17, 1–5; Manresa — No. 18, 0–6.
  • Forca Lleida: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Forca Lleida 2 wins, Manresa 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Forca Lleida — Manresa98.7–95.0
Total over 192.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 192.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Forca Lleida points
  • Manresa points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Forca Lleida

  • 31.10away · Murcia98:125
  • 25.10Real Madrid86:122
  • 18.10away · Basket Zaragoza98:109
  • 11.10away · Obradoiro CAB89:91
  • 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94

Manresa

  • 01.11away · Baskonia83:106
  • 27.10away · Balkan76:65
  • 24.10San Pablo Burgos81:99
  • 20.10BC Roma108:88
  • 17.10Unicaja72:84

Head to head

  • 08.02.2026Forca Lleida — Manresa90:99
  • 16.11.2025Manresa — Forca Lleida99:86
  • 29.03.2025Manresa — Forca Lleida89:95
  • 20.10.2024Forca Lleida — Manresa83:81

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
16MoraBanc Andorra615.1675
17, RelegationForca Lleida615.1675
18, RelegationManresa606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • ValenciaLeyma Corunapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —190.9
  • UnicajaBasquet Gironapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.0
  • BarcelonaObradoiro CABpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.2
  • BilbaoMurciapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.3
  • BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →