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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Valencia — Leyma Coruna

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Model prediction for 15 November

Valencia97%
Leyma Coruna3%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Valencia are clear favourites: 97% against 3% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 107:84 — 191 point in total.

Over 190.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Valencia +10.8, Leyma Coruna −8.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Valencia — No. 3, 4–2; Leyma Coruna — No. 15, 2–4.
  • Last 2 meetings: Valencia 2 wins, Leyma Coruna 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Leyma Coruna106.9–84.0
Total over 190.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 190.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Valencia points
  • Leyma Coruna points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Valencia

  • 01.11away · MoraBanc Andorra111:79
  • 30.10away · Barcelona94:98
  • 27.10Fenerbahce86:78
  • 25.10Baskonia84:75
  • 23.10away · Paris104:93

Leyma Coruna

  • 31.10Tenerife93:89
  • 24.10away · Murcia81:88
  • 18.10away · Basquet Girona90:110
  • 10.10Basket Zaragoza71:92
  • 04.10Bilbao104:101

Head to head

  • 22.03.2025Valencia — Leyma Coruna127:81
  • 05.01.2025Leyma Coruna — Valencia91:99

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, PlayoffsBarcelona642.6672
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
4, PlayoffsTenerife642.6672
14Joventut Badalona624.3334
15Leyma Coruna624.3334
16MoraBanc Andorra615.1675

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • Forca LleidaManresapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —193.7
  • UnicajaBasquet Gironapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.0
  • BarcelonaObradoiro CABpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.2
  • BilbaoMurciapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.3
  • BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →