EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Barcelona — Paris
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Barcelona are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 95:88 — 183 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +0.2, Paris −4.0 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Barcelona — No. 6, 6–3; Paris — No. 16, 3–6.
- Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Barcelona 2 wins, Paris 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Paris | 95.3–87.7 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Barcelona points
- Paris points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
- 30.10Valencia98:94
- 27.10away · Bayern88:84
- 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
- 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81
- 29.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv99:94
- 27.10away · Dubai99:93
- 23.10Valencia93:104
- 16.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:90
- 14.10Virtus Bologna94:96
Head to head
- 12.02.2026Barcelona — Paris74:85
- 16.12.2025Paris — Barcelona69:85
- 03.01.2025Paris — Barcelona79:90
- 15.11.2024Barcelona — Paris87:103
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Barcelona | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 15 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris | 3 | 6 | .333 | 4 |
| 17 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- DubaiAnadolu Efespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.1
- Maccabi Tel AvivOlympiacospreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —181.4
- FenerbahceLyon-Villeurbannepreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.2
- Zalgiris KaunasBayernpreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.5
- BaskoniaHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.3
- Olimpia MilanoCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.2
- Partizan Mozzart BetValenciapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.5
- Virtus BolognaPanathinaikospreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →