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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Fenerbahce — Lyon-Villeurbanne

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Model prediction for 17 November

Fenerbahce84%
Lyon-Villeurbanne16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fenerbahce are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:76 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Fenerbahce +2.0, Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Fenerbahce — No. 9, 6–3; Lyon-Villeurbanne — No. 12, 4–5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Fenerbahce 5 wins, Lyon-Villeurbanne 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Fenerbahce — Lyon-Villeurbanne87.5–75.8
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Fenerbahce points
  • Lyon-Villeurbanne points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Fenerbahce

  • 31.10away · Istanbul BB3:1
  • 29.10away · Real Madrid76:95
  • 27.10away · Valencia78:86
  • 27.10Alanya Bld3:0
  • 24.10away · Gaziantep Genclik3:2

Lyon-Villeurbanne

  • 30.10Baskonia94:79
  • 28.10Partizan Mozzart Bet82:75
  • 23.10away · Zalgiris Kaunas85:105
  • 15.10away · Real Madrid92:111
  • 13.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82:84

Head to head

  • 16.04.2026Lyon-Villeurbanne — Fenerbahce76:81
  • 06.11.2025Fenerbahce — Lyon-Villeurbanne81:67
  • 13.03.2025Fenerbahce — Lyon-Villeurbanne92:82
  • 08.11.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Fenerbahce73:77
  • 30.01.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Fenerbahce73:83

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZalgiris Kaunas954.5562
11Anadolu Efes945.4443
12Lyon-Villeurbanne945.4443
13Besiktas945.4443

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →