EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Virtus Bologna — Panathinaikos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:86 — 168 points in total.
Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Virtus Bologna −4.6, Panathinaikos +2.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Virtus Bologna — No. 15, 4–5; Panathinaikos — No. 1, 7–2.
- Virtus Bologna: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Virtus Bologna 1 win, Panathinaikos 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Virtus Bologna — Panathinaikos | 81.9–85.8 | |
| Total over 167.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 167.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Virtus Bologna points
- Panathinaikos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10Besiktas101:103
- 28.10Zalgiris Kaunas74:91
- 21.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv81:90
- 16.10Baskonia86:78
- 14.10away · Paris96:94
- 30.10away · Anadolu Efes68:83
- 27.10Olimpia Milano80:75
- 22.10Baskonia85:79
- 16.10Hapoel Tel Aviv81:91
- 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55
Head to head
- 08.01.2026Panathinaikos — Virtus Bologna84:71
- 24.10.2025Virtus Bologna — Panathinaikos92:75
- 03.01.2025Panathinaikos — Virtus Bologna111:90
- 15.11.2024Virtus Bologna — Panathinaikos77:82
- 29.03.2024Virtus Bologna — Panathinaikos79:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 14 | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 15 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris | 3 | 6 | .333 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- DubaiAnadolu Efespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.1
- Maccabi Tel AvivOlympiacospreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —181.4
- FenerbahceLyon-Villeurbannepreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.2
- Zalgiris KaunasBayernpreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.5
- BarcelonaParispreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.9
- BaskoniaHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.3
- Olimpia MilanoCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.2
- Partizan Mozzart BetValenciapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →