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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Baskonia — Hapoel Tel Aviv

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Model prediction for 17 November

Baskonia28%
Hapoel Tel Aviv72%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Tel Aviv are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:95 — 183 points in total.

Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Baskonia −8.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv +2.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Baskonia — No. 19, 1–8; Hapoel Tel Aviv — No. 5, 6–3.
  • Last 2 meetings: Baskonia 1 win, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Baskonia — Hapoel Tel Aviv88.1–95.2
Total over 182.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 182.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Baskonia points
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Baskonia

  • 01.11Manresa106:83
  • 30.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne79:94
  • 27.10Real Madrid86:104
  • 25.10away · Valencia75:84
  • 22.10away · Panathinaikos79:85

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 30.10away · Dubai83:97
  • 28.10Anadolu Efes118:88
  • 21.10Virtus Bologna90:81
  • 16.10away · Panathinaikos91:81
  • 14.10Besiktas100:82

Head to head

  • 27.03.2026Baskonia — Hapoel Tel Aviv118:109
  • 11.11.2025Hapoel Tel Aviv — Baskonia114:89

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsDubai963.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsHapoel Tel Aviv963.6671
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
18Bayern927.2225
19Baskonia918.1116
20Olimpia Milano918.1116

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →