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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Olimpia Milano — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

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Model prediction for 17 November

Olimpia Milano34%
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet66%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:87 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −5.7, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +2.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Olimpia Milano — No. 20, 1–8; Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 7, 6–3.
  • Olimpia Milano: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olimpia Milano 3 wins, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81.7–86.5
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Olimpia Milano points
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Olimpia Milano

  • 30.10away · Olympiacos78:84
  • 27.10away · Panathinaikos75:80
  • 22.10Barcelona81:89
  • 15.10Dubai97:101
  • 13.10Real Madrid89:98

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 29.10Bayern103:73
  • 27.10Maccabi Tel Aviv100:78
  • 22.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet82:85
  • 16.10Paris90:81
  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82

Head to head

  • 15.01.2026Olimpia Milano — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet96:104
  • 30.09.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Olimpia Milano82:92
  • 13.03.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Olimpia Milano80:82
  • 04.12.2024Olimpia Milano — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet101:86
  • 11.01.2024Olimpia Milano — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet62:76

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
19Baskonia918.1116
20Olimpia Milano918.1116

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →