EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Zalgiris Kaunas — Bayern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zalgiris Kaunas are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 94:83 — 177 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Zalgiris Kaunas +1.3, Bayern −6.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Zalgiris Kaunas — No. 10, 5–4; Bayern — No. 18, 2–7.
- Zalgiris Kaunas: 3 wins in a row; Bayern: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins, Bayern 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Zalgiris Kaunas — Bayern | 93.9–82.6 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Bayern points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10Partizan Mozzart Bet87:80
- 28.10away · Virtus Bologna91:74
- 23.10Lyon-Villeurbanne105:85
- 16.10Anadolu Efes70:85
- 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
- 29.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet73:103
- 27.10Barcelona84:88
- 22.10Dubai91:107
- 16.10away · Besiktas87:95
- 14.10away · Anadolu Efes101:93
Head to head
- 24.03.2026Zalgiris Kaunas — Bayern78:71
- 10.10.2025Bayern — Zalgiris Kaunas70:98
- 30.01.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Bayern82:97
- 07.11.2024Bayern — Zalgiris Kaunas77:74
- 15.03.2024Bayern — Zalgiris Kaunas64:58
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zalgiris Kaunas | 5 | 4 | .556 | 2 |
| 11 | Anadolu Efes | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 17 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
| 18 | Bayern | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 8 | .111 | 6 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- DubaiAnadolu Efespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.1
- Maccabi Tel AvivOlympiacospreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —181.4
- FenerbahceLyon-Villeurbannepreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.2
- BarcelonaParispreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.9
- BaskoniaHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.3
- Olimpia MilanoCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.2
- Partizan Mozzart BetValenciapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.5
- Virtus BolognaPanathinaikospreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →