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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Cleveland Cavaliers — Indiana Pacers

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Model prediction for 21 November

Cleveland Cavaliers79%
Indiana Pacers21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 121:110 — 230 points in total.

Over 230.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Cleveland Cavaliers without Peyton Watson: that costs the team about 1.4 points a game.
  • Indiana Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton: that costs the team about 8.5 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Cleveland Cavaliers — No. 12, 4–3; Indiana Pacers — No. 23, 2–6.
  • Indiana Pacers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cleveland Cavaliers 4 wins, Indiana Pacers 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cleveland Cavaliers — Indiana Pacers120.8–109.6
Total over 230.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 230.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Cleveland Cavaliers points
  • Indiana Pacers points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 03.11Oklahoma City Thunder112:117
  • 01.11away · Milwaukee Bucks136:111
  • 30.10away · Atlanta Hawks111:114
  • 29.10Washington Wizards121:111
  • 27.10Minnesota Timberwolves127:125

Indiana Pacers

  • 03.11Atlanta Hawks104:108
  • 02.11Brooklyn Nets90:98
  • 31.10away · Miami Heat125:145
  • 29.10Philadelphia 76ers109:114
  • 27.10away · Milwaukee Bucks102:110

Head to head

  • 06.04.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Indiana Pacers117:108
  • 07.01.2026Indiana Pacers — Cleveland Cavaliers116:120
  • 02.12.2025Indiana Pacers — Cleveland Cavaliers119:135
  • 22.11.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Indiana Pacers120:109
  • 14.05.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Indiana Pacers105:114

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5
11Orlando Magic725.2864.5
12Indiana Pacers826.2505
13Chicago Bulls716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →