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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Detroit Pistons — Toronto Raptors

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Model prediction for 21 November

Detroit Pistons59%
Toronto Raptors41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Detroit Pistons are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 112:109 — 222 points in total.

Over 221.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Detroit Pistons without Jalen Duren: that costs the team about 5.3 points a game.
  • Toronto Raptors without Kawhi Leonard: that costs the team about 5.4 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Detroit Pistons — No. 3, 6–1; Toronto Raptors — No. 13, 4–3.
  • Detroit Pistons: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Detroit Pistons 4 wins, Toronto Raptors 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Detroit Pistons — Toronto Raptors112.3–109.2
Total over 221.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 221.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Detroit Pistons

  • 03.11away · Charlotte Hornets124:91
  • 31.10away · Brooklyn Nets110:94
  • 29.10Charlotte Hornets97:89
  • 28.10away · New York Knicks97:111
  • 26.10away · Philadelphia 76ers106:93

Toronto Raptors

  • 03.11away · Los Angeles Clippers125:118
  • 02.11away · Los Angeles Lakers125:131
  • 31.10Orlando Magic114:121
  • 29.10Orlando Magic129:99
  • 26.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves94:117

Head to head

  • 01.04.2026Detroit Pistons — Toronto Raptors127:116
  • 15.03.2026Toronto Raptors — Detroit Pistons119:108
  • 12.02.2026Toronto Raptors — Detroit Pistons95:113
  • 05.04.2025Toronto Raptors — Detroit Pistons105:117
  • 12.01.2025Detroit Pistons — Toronto Raptors123:114

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePhiladelphia 76ers871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceDetroit Pistons761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceWashington Wizards743.5712.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →