NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles Lakers are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 125:112 — 237 points in total.
Over 237.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
- Los Angeles Lakers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
Facts
- League table: Los Angeles Lakers — No. 6, 6–2; Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6.
- Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Lakers 4 wins, Sacramento Kings 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings | 125.3–112.1 | |
| Total over 237.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 237.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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Form
- 03.11Miami Heat138:117
- 02.11Toronto Raptors131:125
- 31.10away · Golden State Warriors95:112
- 29.10away · Los Angeles Clippers103:87
- 28.10Portland Trail Blazers129:136
- 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
- 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
- 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
- 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
- 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123
Head to head
- 02.03.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings128:104
- 13.01.2026Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers124:112
- 29.12.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings125:101
- 27.10.2025Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers120:127
- 29.12.2024Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings132:122
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Atlanta HawksCharlotte Hornetspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.1
- Brooklyn NetsOrlando Magicpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Cleveland CavaliersIndiana Pacerspreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.4
- Detroit PistonsToronto Raptorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —221.5
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —236.3
- Oklahoma City ThunderNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Utah JazzPhoenix Sunspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.0
- Denver NuggetsHouston Rocketspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →