NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Denver Nuggets 51%, Houston Rockets 49%.
The model expects a score around 114:113 — 227 points in total.
Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- Visitors struggle at 1609 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.6 points off them.
Facts
- League table: Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3; Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 4 wins, Houston Rockets 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets | 113.7–113.4 | |
| Total over 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Denver Nuggets points
- Houston Rockets points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
- 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
- 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
- 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
- 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110
Head to head
- 12.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets129:93
- 21.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets101:115
- 16.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets128:125 OT
- 22.11.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets109:112
- 13.04.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets111:126
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Atlanta HawksCharlotte Hornetspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.1
- Brooklyn NetsOrlando Magicpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Cleveland CavaliersIndiana Pacerspreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.4
- Detroit PistonsToronto Raptorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —221.5
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —236.3
- Oklahoma City ThunderNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Utah JazzPhoenix Sunspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.0
- Los Angeles LakersSacramento Kingspreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →