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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Utah Jazz — Phoenix Suns

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Model prediction for 21 November

Utah Jazz44%
Phoenix Suns56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Phoenix Suns are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The model expects a score around 114:116 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
  • Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6; Phoenix Suns — No. 24, 1–4.
  • Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row; Phoenix Suns: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 1 win, Phoenix Suns 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Phoenix Suns114.0–116.1
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Phoenix Suns points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
  • 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
  • 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
  • 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
  • 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132

Phoenix Suns

  • 03.11away · Golden State Warriors113:116
  • 31.10Denver Nuggets120:127
  • 27.10away · Oklahoma City Thunder114:125
  • 25.10Golden State Warriors131:122
  • 22.10away · Portland Trail Blazers83:124

Head to head

  • 29.03.2026Phoenix Suns — Utah Jazz134:109
  • 01.11.2025Phoenix Suns — Utah Jazz118:96
  • 28.10.2025Utah Jazz — Phoenix Suns138:134 OT
  • 08.02.2025Phoenix Suns — Utah Jazz135:127 OT
  • 12.01.2025Phoenix Suns — Utah Jazz114:106

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5
12Phoenix Suns514.2004.5
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →